Sunday, July 17, 2016

A New Season, A New Hope.

A New Season, A New Hope.

   Every new Miami Dolphins season comes with the realization that the glory years of Dolphins past slip farther and farther away. The search for a legitimate NFL starting QB has been as elusive as playoff appearances. With my Aqua and Coral glasses firmly in place I will make a case for hope.

   Ryan Tannehill is not witout strengths. RT is a great guy, extremely intelligent. The kid is as tough as nails. His athleticism flashes big plays with his legs. His weaknesses are well documented. Poor pocket presence. Accuracy in general long ball accuracy in particular. Finally, in big moments of the game he seems to come up short.

   This QB profile reminds me of Rich Gannon. Gannon and Tannehill have many of the same strengths, smart, tough, athletic. Both also struggled with consistency early on. Gannons struggles ended as soon as John Gruden arrived in Oakland. Gruden was a brilliant young offensive mind who allowed Gannon to be involved in formulating the game plan. This involment led to a gameplan that played to Gannons strengths. Gruden called the Plays, Gannon executed the offense. Their relationship grew stronger with each passing sunday. This playcaller QB relationship led to a rebirth of Gannons play, which led to a rebirth of the franchise.

    Adam Gase is strikingly similar to John Gruden. Some folks call him genius. This Gase/Tannehill marriage will lead to a rebirth of the Miami Dolphins franchise. Do I believe this %100. No, but as a Dolphins fan hope is pretty much all I have.

Mo Perkins

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29 comments

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I agree with all of your article except the long ball issue. TH17 had no problem with the deep ball accuracy last year. I would say his red zone play and fourth quarter play were larger issues but i believe a lot of those troubles were more on the coaching and personnel.

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I agree with all of your article except the long ball issue. TH17 had no problem with the deep ball accuracy last year. I would say his red zone play and fourth quarter play were larger issues but i believe a lot of those troubles were more on the coaching and personnel.

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I agree... RT's deep ball definitely improved, as well as his mechanics, and in turn, his accuracy. I don't recall exactly where I read it, but a recent post actually broke down his passes by drops vs inaccurate throws, and he was greatly improved last year. It's also hard to maintain a solid pocket presence when you've been running for your life for 4 years, but he was still able to put up very solid numbers! I agree with No that this QB/Coach relationship is going to bear fruit! Nothing wrong with a little optimism Mo!
Phins Up!

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I agree... RT's deep ball definitely improved, as well as his mechanics, and in turn, his accuracy. I don't recall exactly where I read it, but a recent post actually broke down his passes by drops vs inaccurate throws, and he was greatly improved last year. It's also hard to maintain a solid pocket presence when you've been running for your life for 4 years, but he was still able to put up very solid numbers! I agree with No that this QB/Coach relationship is going to bear fruit! Nothing wrong with a little optimism Mo!
Phins Up!

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I like RT. He is tough as nails getting hit as much as he does.

It does bother me that he still doesn't have one fourth quarter comeback in the last 2 minutes on his resume.

Stunning.

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I like RT. He is tough as nails getting hit as much as he does.

It does bother me that he still doesn't have one fourth quarter comeback in the last 2 minutes on his resume.

Stunning.

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Here we go again. Another writer who thinks RT has deep ball problems. Especially when it is clearly proven that his deep ball was good with anyone not named Wallace. This past year he was tied for 6th in 20+ yard passes, tied for 4th in 40+ yard passes. That's not a QB with Deep ball problems. Even Omar Kelly admitted he was wrong about Tannehill's deep ball.

We all should have a lot of hope for Ryan Tannehill. Here we have a QB who was not supported (due more to interoffice politics than anything else), who was handcuffed w/o audibles and stuck trying to make plays work that won’t because any other QB (like Wilson) would have the ability to switch out of that play with a terrible Oline and he still made some respectable numbers this year. He was 9th in yards with 4208, 8th in completions, 8th in attempts, 15th in TDs, 13th in first downs, putting him n the top half of QB's in the league. All while being tied for 3rd in number of sacks this year. Yes he need to improve in several categories I did not list. My point is he got over 4,200 yards in spite of all the things working against him. You can argue all day about the quality of the yards etc. but this is still the NFL and the yard aren’t just given away. With everything working against him he still managed to be in the top half of NFL QB's.

I would like to point out how many people were saying last year that Tannehill had no deep ball and how wrong they all turned out to be. The point with that is that people get so sure of thinking that a player is no good in at this area or that area but then the player comes out different the next year and proves people wrong. It happens all the time. Players have ups and down. BTW, anyone notice that Wallace didn’t get many yards this year with Bridgewater who was supposed to be better for him?
Here's some more information for you. There were 7 games in the last 2 years where Albert, Pouncey and James started and played healthy. During those 7 games Miami went 6 - 1 and the loss was to Greenbay in the last minutes of a well played winnable game. During those 7 games Tannehill's QBR was over 100 in all of them, the team average over 140 yards running per game and scored an average of 35 points. This proves how good the team can be with Tannehill as QB when he is given solid O-line play. It also shows why the Oline is so important and how decimated we were with injuries. In 32 games to only have 7 with our 3 top starters and very poor backups it's little wonder why we lost so many games. Top that off with a coaching staff that believed in finesse and taking what the opponent gave you instead of attacking the opponent and it's easy to see why the team failed under Philbin. While RT still needs some improvement in pocket presence and 3rd down efficiency and red zone, we hired the person who can help him with that. The team still has too many holes to go real far this year but 8 or 9 wins is very possible. Learning a new system will probably hold them back a bit too so no one expects a lot this year.

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He is definitely tough! Surprising really, he hasn't suffered a serious injury. I think his lack of comebacks is more a reflection of predictability and poor line play. Not only was he locked into plays, good or bad, but when it comes down to the last two minutes, and the Defense knows you're throwing, they could just get after the QB with a poor offensive line in front of them. A recipe for disaster.

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Good call David! I read that stat recently, regarding the line's performance when those three played together! Great win/loss even with sub-par Guard play!

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Good call David! I read that stat recently, regarding the line's performance when those three played together! Great win/loss even with sub-par Guard play!

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He is definitely tough! Surprising really, he hasn't suffered a serious injury. I think his lack of comebacks is more a reflection of predictability and poor line play. Not only was he locked into plays, good or bad, but when it comes down to the last two minutes, and the Defense knows you're throwing, they could just get after the QB with a poor offensive line in front of them. A recipe for disaster.

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Ryan Tannehill has three 4th QTR comebacks in the last two minutes.
I specifically remember the comeback against Atlanta in September 2013 with 38 seconds left, the comeback against NE in December 2013 with 1:18 left and the comeback against Minn in 2014 with 1:11 left.

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Comeback starts were verified by ProFootball Reference. All the comebacks were TD passes. (Sims, Thigpen and D Williams)

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Ok. I went to check you out and I found:

2013 vs Atlanta drive started with 4:36 left.

2013 vs NE drive started with 4:07 left and Brady drove them to our 19 yard line 1st and 10 with :27 on the clock. The defense held for 5 downs.

2014 vs Minn drive started with 3:40 left

My point is starting a drive with 2 minutes or less, behind on the scoreboard and leading us down the field to win.

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Carl: Your definition of a 4th QTR comeback is u unique to say the least. The winning play in each of the three drives was completed with less than two minutes. The Dolphins were behind and in the three cases Tannehill threw a TD pass with two minutes left. That would fit my definition of a 4th QTR comeback.
You are entitled to your definition and your opinion.
Respectfully

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Last year RT was 21st in passes over 15 yards.https://m.reddit.com/r/nfl/comments/45x0m3/2015_qb_stats_broken_down_by_passes_less_than_and/
This stat is qb ratings based.

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@ Maurice Perkins - First of all that site and QBR is not the complete picture for QB stats. Go the the NFL:

http://www.nfl.com/stats/categorystats?tabSeq=0&season=2015&seasonType=REG&d-447263-n=1&d-447263-o=2&d-447263-p=1&statisticCategory=PASSING&conference=null&d-447263-s=PASSING_20PLUS_YARDS_EACH

Click on the 20+ column and it re-orders putting the best performers at the top. RT is tied for 6th, Then click on 40+, RT is tied for 4th. You don't get to those marks by sucking. These stats prove that his long ball is not a problem. Even if it was the Dolphins last play-off visit was at the hands of a QB (Pennington) who was well-known for not being able to throw the deep ball. The fact that Omar Kelly admitted he was wrong about RT's deep ball should also carry a lot of weight for those who follow his Dolphins coverage.

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Your stats are total completions not completion %. % is more accurate determination of success.
We can agree we both want RT to succeed.
"Their are lies."
"Their are damn lies."
"Then their are statistics."
Mark Twain.

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RT completion percentage to everyone but Wallace was right up there with the top QB's I don't have time to go looking for the stats. But there have been in depth studies done on this and the fact that you are not up to speed on this kills your credibility on this IMHO.

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Wallace didn't play for the Phins last year he played for the Vikings.
The Reddit stats for 2015 show RT was 21st in qb rating for passes over 15yds.
I'll try to find those in depth studies.

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It's not unique. Two minute drives are practiced every week. Go and kick a FG or TD. It doesn't matter to me, but take over it last 2 minutes, drive down the field and win the game. They practice this every week on every team.

I will give him credit for last 2 minutes off the first half. Seen him do that and pick up a FG or TD. But why not at end of game?

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It's not unique. Two minute drives are practiced every week. Go and kick a FG or TD. It doesn't matter to me, but take over it last 2 minutes, drive down the field and win the game. They practice this every week on every team.

I will give him credit for last 2 minutes off the first half. Seen him do that and pick up a FG or TD. But why not at end of game?

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He had a game winning drive his rookie year against Seattle. 1:32 when the phone received the ball at their own 10. I know it maybe just 1, but honestly how many opportunities has he actually had for game winning drives starting within the final 2 mins.

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I also hafta agree with gines tho, that's kinda picky to leave out the game winning drives he has had just because they didn't start the drive in the final 2 mins, becuz I'm still sure they were more than likely running to 2 min offense at that time. If that's the way you view it maybe you should go look and see how many times he lead a scoring drive running the 2 min or hurry up regardless of when it was in the game

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I like RT. I have a vested interest in him with 3 jerseys. I just don't want to see him walking off the field in the last minute with that confounded look on his face. One we have all seen many times.