Sunday, April 10, 2016

Should Miami Trade Up In The First Round?

Just how bad does Miami want Ezekial Elliot?

There have been reports that Miami will have to trade up in order to land him. I would be ecstatic if he is a Miami Dolphin in the first round of this years draft BUT not at the expense of giving up a future pick to move up. 

Here is my case for staying put at # 13. 

Look, Miami has a plan this offseason, that much is obvious. Grier, Gase and Tannebaum have put values on players and stuck with them throughout this offseason. Look at Vernon and Miller, hell, even look at CJ Anderson, they could have offered him more making it near impossible for Denver to match but they didn't. Why? Because they placed a value on him as a player and stuck with it. I personally like that approach.  

They are all in that Gase is going to be the next Bill Belichick and he is going to extract every ounce of talent out of the Roster we already have. Why would they change their mind now? Tannehill is going to be fixed as well as Suh, Mario Williams, Byron Maxwell and Kiko Alonso. According to the brass of the Phins, those players were simply victims of being in the wrong scheme. That has yet to be seen, we shall see...

RB is extremely deep in this draft. Again, would I like Elliot? ABSOLUTLEY! But would I Be happy with Derrick Henry? Heck yeah! It is being projected that a good RB can even be drafted in day 3. So there is that.

Have we forgotten about Damien Williams? He has decent hands and can pass block, hence the label "3rd down specialist" that he has had for a few years now. If Gase is that good, why can't he coach him up on a few things and have our backfield look like this:

Ajayi, Williams, and Unknown RB drafted in the 2nd or 3rd day of the draft? 

AAAAAAAANNNNNNNNNDDDDDDDDD, let us all not forget that there will be a ton of talented players cut from around the NFL as teams trim their rosters for the season. Another RB can come from that as well, fairly cheap.

What does this all mean? It means they most likely won't trade up for him. Especially with a chance he may be there at 13 anyways. After they lost out on CJ Anderson, there was a feeling around Miami of "eh, we tried, no harm no foul" so they are obviously not in panic mode about a RB. 

What do you think? Stay out at 13? Or trade up? Why?








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18 comments

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Trade DOWN, draft best available CB, get a RB later.

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Trade DOWN, draft best available CB, get a RB later.

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Take Best available CB 1st, LB 2nd, RB 3rd (there will be goodies left) and G 4th, DE prospect 5th, those are the keys. 6-7 ? Does it really matter ? Pick out of a hat for those. Nervous with these guys to trade down and keep sacrificing premiums for more picks that they'll likely screw up on anyway. "More" is not always better.
Go for the quality.

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Stay put at 13 and see who falls to you. We need more than one RB. Elliot may fall. One never knows. Those guys ahead looking for RB help could go elsewhere. Lots of smoke screens. Those teams could trade down behind us as well.

I like Elliot but I think we will grab the BPA, who could wind up being Elliot anyway.

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Stay put at 13 and see who falls to you. We need more than one RB. Elliot may fall. One never knows. Those guys ahead looking for RB help could go elsewhere. Lots of smoke screens. Those teams could trade down behind us as well.

I like Elliot but I think we will grab the BPA, who could wind up being Elliot anyway.

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Agreed Carl. It wouldn't hurt my feelings if we lose out on Elliot but end up with one of the top three CB's

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Bust rate is extremely high on first round backs, I'm sure he'll be good but I was also sure about a bunch of backs drafted in the first, I wouldn't give up a 2nd or 3rd to move up when we have holes to fill, the only players I would move up for would be Jack or Ransey which still will cost us but a big need will be filled, draft is deep at running back I would be happier with that scenario and get a rb on day 3 and see what's available after that when rosters get trimmed

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Through my layman eyes, Elliot looks like a legit stud - a difference maker and will improve the dolphins in every phase of the game ... love to get him at 13, but trust the dolphin brass that if there expert opinions are similar and they felt he was worth moving up for - I'd be happy to move up and get him. After the 5th or 6th pick in the draft, I believe Elliot will be the BPA on most draft boards - so it'll be risky to wait to 13. My vote is to go get him.

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D.Henry is a stud too...he's got a good pedigree also..! Taking him wouldn't be a bad thing either...

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smoke screen we going with c b

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smoke screen we going with c b

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"They are all in that Gase is going to be the next Bill Belichick."

Gase thinks that he can make Dallas Thomas a starting caliber lineman. IMO, Gase is just another Philbin.

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@ Roland:

LOL. nice comment! As I have said before, this offseason is a HUGE gamble on all fronts. Nothing is for sure. We will all see soon enough if it will pay off. I am not convinced on Gase just as you are not. Miami will either be much improved or will get worse. IMO there us no in between. It all depends on all these gambles they took on players and a 37 year old rookie head coach...

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Idk that fade is convinced Thomas is a starter, you can't come in and say negative things about a player when u might need him later, I believe they draft a lineman early and give Thomas the chance to compete

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I'd rather stay where we are and draft the best CB or LB available in round 1, then see if we can get Henry in the 2nd. I also think Devante Booker in round 4 or 5 would be a bargain.

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Follow this recipe, and the team will be turned around, guaranteed:
Trade down, then pick BPA. Do the same for the next two years. In three years, this team will finally get above .500. Four years, will be in the playoffs and contending.

Unfortunately, this strategy is too simple for the jokers in the front office.