Sunday, February 08, 2015

7 Round Mock Draft For Dolphins' 2015 Picks (4th Edition)

The Miami Dolphins wound up tied with the 49ers at 8-8 but since the winning percentage of the 49ers opponents was higher than the winning percentage of our opponents, we will pick 14th in the odd rounds and 15th in the even rounds in this year's NFL draft.  We also receive the 49ers' 7th Round pick for the Jonathan Martin fiasco.

The purpose of this mock draft is to give the fans an idea of who may be available in each round.  I am utilizing a Computer App to make the selections of the 31 other teams in the draft.  Unfortunately, I do not have the time to list all the picks nor all the players who may have been available when I picked for us.  Also, I am not taking into consideration the signing or losing of any Free Agents at this time.

The 3rd Edition was posted on 1/24 and in this draft I have decided to accept a couple of trade offers in the first 3 rounds.  By trading back, I picked up 4 additional picks.

1st Round Pick # 14: Accepted a trade from KC for their 1st Round 18th Pick and their 2nd Round 17th Pick.  The following players of need were still available and any of them would have been a good choice 4 picks later: DT Eddie Goldman, OLB Shaq Thompson, SS Landin Collins, OT TJ Clemmings, CB Trae Waynes and OLB Vic Beasley.

1st Round Pick #18: The player not only filling a need but also ranked 18 in the Draft by CBS Sports was still available so this became a no brainer as I selected Shaq Thompson OLB from Washington.  Only a Junior, Thompson stands 6-2, 231 lbs and will help immediately as a 3 down linebacker. He has the speed and agility to drop back in coverage and the quickness to rush the passer. Plus he could run the ball in short yardage situations.

2nd Round Pick # 15: As all the top DT are gone with a run that started at pick 20 in the first round and only one top ILB left as well, I didn't want to risk losing the ILB as the drop off is very significant in the depth of ILBs this year. So at Pick # 37, I reached somewhat for the 57th ranked player in Benardrick McKinney ILB from Mississippi State.  At 6-4, 249 lbs, this Junior will step right into the MLB spot and show off his athleticism as he runs a 40 in the 4.5s and posts a 34 inch vertical leap.  He can rush the passer but we will need to find a DT who can tie up 2 blockers to fully take advantage of these first 2 picks.

2nd Round Pick # 17 (from KC): Cincinnati called and offered me their 21st picks in Rounds 2, 4 and 5.  With plenty of talent to chose from, I figured we could use the 2 extra picks by falling back only 4 picks.

2nd Round Pick # 21 (from Cincinnati): Was I shocked to see the 25th ranked player still sitting there at pick # 53.  Since the value was too great to pass up, I pulled the trigger and filled another need to find another offensive play maker by choosing Dorial Green-Beckham from Oklahoma.
A third Junior now in our draft class, Beckham stands 6-5 and carries 225 lbs of red zone talent and is also a beast to bring down after the catch. He displays freakish athleticism and can be a vertical threat.  However, he dropped this far for a good reason.  He was dismissed from Missouri after multiple marijuana issues.  He may need a strong willed roommate and an accountant who only allows him to carry a $50 limit debit card to keep him out of future trouble but those can be arranged.

3rd Round Pick # 14: KC gets back on the phone and offers their 3rd round # 16 and 4th round # 19. I was a little nervous here because I needed a run stuffing DT to tie up 2 blockers and there was one good one left.  Would he still be there 2 picks later?  What the heck, lets do it. I made the trade.

3rd Round Pick # 16 (from KC): Where's the beef? Right here in 6-3, 315 lbs, DT Joey Mbu from Houston.  Our first true Senior boasts the big body shoulders, long arms and tree trunk thighs one looks for in a DT/NT.  His stats are low because they don't reflect the fact that he was continually double teamed which what we need him to do to free up those two studs at the top of our draft to make most of the tackles. He is the 94th rated player that I chose with the 80th pick but I didn't want to chance it.

4th Round Pick # 15: Why shy away from the D side of the ball at this point.  Lets bring some thump into the system and so I grabbed SS Ibraheim Campbell from Northwestern.  This Senior brings 6-0, 210 lbs of force into every hit and can cover adequately.  He can separate the ball from the runner and with our safeties aging he can spend time on special teams until he steps into the starting line up. Campbell is the 124th ranked player that I used the 111th pick on.

4th Round Pick # 19: Even though I reached slightly above for Campbell there was still plenty of depth at CB so I waited for the 115th pick to grab the 95th ranked player in CB Steve Nelson from Oregon State.  At 5-10, 199 lbs, Nelson may not have the ideal size for a corner but he has a strong build and plays aggressive at the line and is a tackling machine.  He can be a gunner on special teams and develop into a physical threat at CB.  He isn't afraid to hit anyone and can separate the ball from WRs. Can play nickel in a zone and come up and stick people.  We wound up with a very good value here. Thank you KC.

4th Round Pick # 21 (from Cincinnati): Boy I feel like I want to add a physical presence to our team and now moved over to the offensive side of the ball by drafting the 88th ranked player with the 117th overall pick by choosing this 5-9. 229 lbs RB out of Minnesota, David Cobb. Without much help from his O Line, Cobb rushed for 1200 yards mainly by busting through small creases and being just elusive enough to change direction.  The Big 10 is no slouch of a conference so he has fought off quality competition.

5th Round Pick # 14: Time to help out the O Line now.  Unless we are willing to spend a second round pick on an OG, which I could have done, I decided to wait until late in this draft and grabbed 142nd ranked player with, guess what, the 142nd pick.  Welcome OG Jamil Douglas from Arizona State.  At 6-4, 307 lbs, he has played all exterior line positions but has played best at the LG position over the past 3 years.  He needs to get a bit more aggressive in his run blocking but that can be fixed with a pay check or get cut attitude from his coaches.  He is agile enough for pass protection and pulling down the line.

5th Round Pick # 21 (from Cincinnati): I know we will resign Charles Clay and Dion Sims has played well, but a 6-5, 267 lbs player who moves very well for his size is worth the chance to make our roster.  So with the 149th pick I grabbed the 145th ranked player in TE Nick Boyle out of FCS University of Delaware.  This Senior is only the 4th Blue Hen to be invited to the Senior Bowl so he has scouts interested in him. He doesn't block very well but he can be a great player in the passing game.

6th Round Pick # 15: Back to the O Line Dolfans and even though we may actually have to address the OT position much quicker as Brandon Albert may not be able to start the season on time, I waited until the 175th pick to reach a little for the 190th ranked player in OT Sean Hickey out of Syracuse.  At 6-6, 308 lbs, he is a developmental player at best and headed for the practice squad.  He may actually wind up playing Guard or not at all unless he gets in the weight room and the coaches get him to play nastier.

7th Round Pick # 14: At this point in the draft, you are looking for a diamond in the rough.  Someone to develop or just push those already on the team into making them better.  So with pick # 206, I was happy to invest in the 181st ranked player in Penn State's FS Adrian Amos. Now this 6-1, 214 lbs Senior has had quite an amazing year at Penn State.  He finished with 42 tackles of which 30 were solo, 3 INTs and 17 passes defended.  He has lined up at CB and returned kicks as well.  He was named Honorable Mention to the last 3 Big 10 Defensive Teams, played in the Senior Bowl and is invited to the scouting combine.  OK, what gives? How is he still here? He missed plenty of tackles. He is very athletic so there is some very good upside and could make the team with some good coaching.

7th Round Pick # 15 (from 49ers): Throw enough mud at the wall and maybe something will stick.  That's the plan here by selecting the 201st ranked player with the 207th pick.  Maybe, just maybe, we could find a gem here. Maybe not? Without further delay, I finish our 2015 draft by choosing the OT out of Oklahoma Tyrus Thompson.  At 6-5, 336 lbs, he is quite a big dude with the massive tree trunks and long arms that you might look to have at tackle.  But he lacks technique to play LT and will probably wind up playing RT if he can muscle up to the challenge.

Defense early and offense later in this 2015 Mock Draft. What do you think?

Phins Up!!!

Carl Leone
Dolfan since 12/25/1971
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11 comments

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I am not a Shaq Thompson fan, and it is a position that is not a need (WLB is Jenkins spot)...Beyond that, there would need to be a player KC could not live without to give up a #2 to move up 4 spots....Maybe a 3rd, but I guess that is what makes this fun LOL, you never know...

NG type players are a strength of FA, Kendrick Ellis of Jets, undrafted RFA Sealver Siliga of NE, Dan Williams of ARZ are three....Not huge stats, but that is not their job, they must take on 2 blockers and free up the LB's....All 3 get less than $2.2 min last year, so maybe this kind of space eating player does not break the bank and fill a need without using the draft. please note these are 500 snap type players and to do this right, Miami needs 2 of them...

I Enjoy reading your posts



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Thanks gasnotoil.

I am so happy the draft was moved way back beyond the start of Free Agency. You are absolutely correct about the NGs. We could get at least one there. ILB may be thinner as in the draft.

Football may have progressed beyond the need for an old fashioned MLB. With so much passing and the read option now in play, I think the Butkis type of player won't be coming up out of college. The need for speed is in demand. Zach Thomas could still play in today's game.

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I live in Washington State -- believe me when I say...Shaq Thompson is the real deal.! He is a beast...The Huskies big defensive tackle would also be a solid choice...Let's not waste the pick on another offensive lineman....GET A PLAYMAKER...!

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Good point on ILB's....when I think of speed from the MLB position my first thought are "how fast can they react to the play"....Zach is a great example of a player nobody liked because he was not "feet" fast, not tall, not big...but the one thing Zack brought was the ability to react to play at lighting speed...

Last year the player that got dumped on was Chris Borland (SF)..We were told that he is to short, does not have the speed 4.7, arms are to short 29 1/4 inch .... But he is instinctive, that makes him look fast, nobody notices how tall he is now...he gained a 20.8 PFF rating on 487 snaps...a 3rd round steal....if the draft was today, he could sneak into the 1st round....every year there is a Zack Thomas out there that nobody loves, that in time everybody wants...Miami could use one of these unloved players in this upcoming draft...LOL

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Thanks for your input Dan.

Gassy, I would love one of those unloved guys every draft.

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I like the idea of trading down. In fact, I would like to see them do it a couple of times.We need a lot of draft picks. We need to follow the proven model of building through the draft. That being said, the only thing I'd change:

I think we can pick up Shaq in round 2. Nobody even knows for sure at this point if LB is the best position for him. They might as well list his position as "ATH" at this point. He could be another Dion Jordan type and so far I'm still not sold on that idea. Speaking of whom, we could just move Jordon to LB. I think he could pick up on it and a Jordon/Misi/Jenkins combo will work a lot better than this last seasons corps.

I'd say use that round 1 pick on someone like DT Malcom Brown or Eddie Goldman.

I don't want Miami to "reach" a lot though. Find a good balance between best available and team need. If you have a team need and the best player in that position is projected 10 spots below your pick, either take the best player available or trade down. No reaching this year. We need at least half of our draft picks to be good ones that impact the team. Miami could be the next "young" team to win the SB. I think this "young team built through the draft" model is the way to go. It's definitely the most salary cap friendly model as well. Hickey has a chance to really make a name for himself.

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Oh and Carl, I have a feeling when the axe drops on some of the high-priced vets, your mock draft is going to change A LOT. I'm worried that both Odrick and Starks may be sent packing. I hope not....but it's not looking good for us at DT.

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The right call is Dan Shelton, DT, as Starks and Odrick are probably goners...with Shelton, a F/A like Dan Williams or Nick Fairly inside, Wake and Vernon on the outside, Jordan a chance at OLB, maybe a Rolando Mclain in the middle and Jenkins at the other spot and our front 7 will be good again. Misi is a back up. Wheeler and Ellerbe are goneZO. The front 7 were the cause of the flop last year.

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The problem is that Shelton is moving up in the boards now and as teams lose their DT to free agency they will need them as well so who may trade up to grab him in front of us. The draft is always so iffy. Not until it is your pick can you be sure of what you can get.

Goldman may be available. Who knows???

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If not Danny Shelton in the first-round maybe a Carl Davis out of Iowa.

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Davis is another big dude at 321 lbs. But he didn't interview well at the Senior Bowl. He stated that he should only play 20-30 snaps a game so he came across as being lazy and also acted somewhat arrogant. I think his stock is falling and he may need his agent to bring on the spin to get into the second round.

If we want a big DT then Jordan Phillips out of Oklahoma may fit the bill at 6-6, 324 lbs. He may be had in the second round.