Saturday, November 22, 2014

2 Predictions...

There is a lot that has been going on this week concerning the Broncos/Dolphins game. Emmanuel Sanders and Julius Thomas haven't practiced pretty much all week but are most likely playing. Charles Clay is out which was a surprise. Daryn Colledge is coming back which is good news. All of this has been a whirlwind to try and figure out.

The big question is, which Dolphins Team shows up in Mile High? The team that played the Chargers? Or the team that played the Chiefs? 

If the team that played the Chargers shows up Miami wins. No doubt about it. Denver is not a good running team which means they will pass, and like Carl pointed out, Miami is #1 against the pass. Denver's line is a mess right now which also plays into our hands because we have a fierce pass rush. Also, as Carl pointed out, the winds will be strong, and in case you haven't noticed, Peyton's passes are looking pretty weak and wobbly as of late. Also, the wind helps us because we are a better running team. 27-20, Miami.

If the team that played the Chiefs shows up, Miami loses. Why you ask? We are playing Peyton Manning and no team can show up flat and expect to beat Peyton. If "this" Miami squad shows up, Denver wins by a score of 30-13. 

Which one will it be? 

Weather Will Factor In At Mile High

When you are going to Denver in November you always pack your gloves and scarf and winter jacket.  That's a no brainer.  You expect cold temps and are prepared for that.

Tomorrow's weather, though, has an added degree of difficulty. 

Wind. Gusting winds. Up to 21 miles per hour.

So it will seem even colder in the first half due to the wind chill factoring in.

When those shadows get longer as the sun drops and those lights come on at Mile High Stadium, the wind will die slightly but not enough to warm those souls on the turf.

So with cold and wind, what you should hope to do is run the ball to set up a short passing game.

Who benefits from that?

As much as the talking heads have mentioned that Denver, losers of 2 of their last 3, will be fired up and need to get back to running the ball, its just not in their DNA.

Denver has run the ball the 6th least of all 32 teams.  Only 243 times. 

For 3.7 yards per carry.

If you can remember, Jimmy Johnson used to call Dan Marino his Candy Jar.  He was so sweet that you had so much trouble trying to pass by and not stick your hand in there.

With Peyton Manning, Denver's John Fox has a sweet tooth.

Why drive when you can fly?

Miami on the other hand, is ranked in the middle of the pack in rushing but has had much greater success by pounding the ball 272 times for 4.7 yards per attempt.

Denver's defense has only faced 222 attempts and is giving up only 3.3 yards per carry.  Of course most teams are chucking the ball trying to keep pace with Manning and company.

Denver's opponents have thrown the ball 423 times.  And that's the most in the entire league.

Why drive when you have to fly?

Miami's defense is ranked 1st against the pass.  Yep, We're # 1! We're # 1!

That stat alone has meaning and it may just get us through this game and hopefully, at the very least, keep it close.

Denver's pass defense, despite all the attempts against it, is ranked 16th.

They, like us, are averaging 6.1 yards per attempt.

Ok. Where am I heading with this?

How many times have we read or heard or wrote or said "I am sick and tired of our dink and dunk passing game!" 

Well, with 21 mile per hour winds, you better believe we will be dink and dunking it all day.

Its what we do anyway.  It plays to our strengths.

Run the ball efficiently and control the game clock with short passes.

Despite all the talk of Denver needing this game and they have to rebound from losing to the Rams and they will be home and they have KC next week...yada, yada, yada...we can win this game.

Our defense is designed to travel well.  Our offense is starting to click.

And more importantly, our special teams are playing so much better now.

Philosophically, we will be in this game.

Physically, we will be in this game.

And emotionally, we need the damn game too!!! So, we will be in this game.

I expect a game with lots of short passes and whoever plays better in the red zone will win.

I think, Denver isn't as great as many think. 

I think, we are better than many think.

And I think the flight home will be a happy one for our Dolphins.

After all, we'll drive in the late Denver afternoon only to fly home in the evening.

Phins Up!!!

Carl Leone
Dolfan since 12/25/1971

Thursday, November 20, 2014

Question of the day

Is a "home" game in Detroit better or worse than a "home" game in England?

Either requires planning and travel. But at least one is in the continental us.

Short. Sweet. To the point. That's the beauty Dave's iPhone.

Brrrr

The pictures from buffalo were amazing. But the offer to help dig out the stadium for cash and game tickets was amusing.