The Dolphins should win this game. Here is why I think so:
San Diego has to make a coast to coast trip and play an early game. That is never a good thing for the traveling team.
San Diego's offensive line is in complete shambles. I believe they are on something like their 3rd center and wouldn't ya know?! Our strength is our defensive line! We should have a field day against them and Rivers can be somewhat of a diva when he gets frustrated. We should get after him early and often without having to blitz and make him hear fandom footsteps throughout the game.
The Chargers are also on their 3rd RB.
Nothing about the receivers of the Chargers scare me. Grimes, Finnegan, Jones, and possibly Taylor should have no problem with them. The real key will be stopping their offense on 3rd and long, the thing to watch here is how Miami plans to slow down Antonio Gates. We can't let them get long completions when we have them on the ropes.
Even if Colledge does not play, we should have no problem protecting Tannehill and running the ball. The pass rush of San Diego is nothing special and neither is their run defense. They have the talent but do not produce sacks. I am more worried about the accuracy of Tannehill than the pass rush we will be facing.
I am not sure how San Diego's CBs are doing this week but I do know against Denver last week both starters were out due to injury. So either we will be facing the backups or hobbled starters, either way this is an advantage for Miami.
There are only 2 advantages that I see San Diego having tomorrow:
One of them is quarterback play. Philip Rivers is by far a better QB than Tannehill right now. We have to get him out of his game and I think the best way to do that is to pester him early with constant pressure. Once he is frustrated he tends to try to hard and can be forced into mistakes.
The other advantage is coaching. Overall I think McCoy is a better coach that Philbin, although as of late, I have been impressed with the game planning and halftime adjustments that the Dolphins have been making. If you take away the total coaching meltdown against Green Bay, I would say they have been doing a great job this year, but unfortunately you cannot take it away! Let's see if Philbin and his staff can redeem themselves throughout the rest of the year.
Everything considered, Miami should win this game by 10 points. Let's see how it all plays out tomorrow.