After yesterday's tough loss to Denver, I am reminded of the immortal words of the Sapronos' characters "Fugget about it."
But not in regards to our playoff chances.
No. In regards to that game because there is plenty of season left.
Can we get in at 10-6?
Presently, we are ranked 10th in the AFC so can we leap frog the top dogs ahead of us?
Yes, with the right wins.
Lets say the Pats win the East, Colts win the South and that Denver/KC wins the West.
Now both the Denver/KC division winner and possible wild card winner have the tie breaker on us so we need the 6th seed to realistically get in.
That means we have to get by the 7-3-1 Bengals, at 7-4 the Steelers, Chargers and Browns plus the 6-4 Ravens.
The AFC North winner is probably not going to be determined from all 4 teams in the hunt until the last weekend of the season.
Lets face it, the AFC North played an easy schedule this year. They got to play the AFC and NFC South divisions, who currently out of 8 teams, only have the Colts with a winning record.
Those two divisions are a combined 28-58.
We, on the other hand in the AFC East, have to play the AFC West and NFC North divisions with a combined record of 47-41.
That's a big swing for half your schedule.
We still have @Jets, Baltimore, @Pats, Minnesota and Jets on our horizon.
Lets say we lose to the Pats and sweep the rest. Which is doable.
We would finish at 10-6 and have 4 AFC losses with the head to head tie breaker with San Diego and Baltimore.
But look at the remaining schedules for those in the hunt mentioned above plus the Bills and Texans (AFC LOSSES):
Broncos 8-3 (1): @Chiefs, Bills, @Chargers, @Bengals, Raiders
Chiefs 7-4 (3): Broncos, @Cardinals, Raiders, @Steelers, Chargers
Chargers 7-4 (3): @Ravens, Pats, Broncos, @49ers, @Chiefs
Steelers 7-4 (3): Saints, @Bengals, @Falcons, Chiefs, Bengals
Bengals 7-3-1 (3): @Bucs, Steelers, @Browns, Broncos, @Steelers
Browns 7-4 (4): @Bills, Colts, Bengals, @Panthers, @Ravens
Ravens 6-4 (4): @Saints Tonight, Chargers, @Miami, Jags, @Texans, Browns
Bills 5-5 (5): Jets Tonight, Browns, @Broncos, Packers, @Raiders, @Pats
Texans 5-6 (3): Titans, @Jags, @Colts, Ravens, Jags
See what I see?
Its the Texans who worry me! Not any of the teams ahead of us who have to play each other at least 3 times.
To beat out the Texans in this scenario of us going 10-6 with 4 AFC losses, we would need the Texans to lose one more game probably against the Colts who are only 2 games ahead of them right now.
If the Texans run the table, they could very easily be the 6th seed.
Didn't see that coming. But when you look at the remaining schedules of everyone in the AFC hunt we don't look so bad in comparison.
We need to get healthy again and beat the damn Jets Monday night and then go from there.
We are still certainly in the hunt for the 6th seed and who knows, maybe beyond.
Dolfan since 12/25/1971