I wrote a few weeks ago that a 9-7 record with four more AFC wins would be enough to make it to the playoffs. After our dominant performance against the Jets, we should be fine if we win 3 out of the next 4 games.
The only team who holds the tiebreaker against us at the moment is Baltimore with a head-to-head victory. (remember the missed field goal at the end of that game - so close).
If we were in a 3 way tie with say Baltimore & Tennessee (where Baltimore loses only 1 more AFC Game), The Dolphins would get the nod by virtue of a better Conference Record over both of those teams. The Phins only have 3 conference losses. If they win out, they would be in - unless Baltimore wins out (Highly Unlikely!). Baltimore's remaining schedule is Min, @Det, NE, @Cin. And, say Baltimore runs the table and wins out. Cinci's remaining schedule is Ind, @Pit, Min, Bal., which means 1 built in loss. Two more and the Dolphins would hold the tiebreaker against them should Miami win 3 of 4. If Cinci only loses 2 games, Miami would still have the tie breaker if they won out.
Even Kansas City is gettable with 3 straight losses. They have 4 tough games @WSH, @OAK, IND, @SD. Their confidence is shaken, and at 9-3, they could easily lose 3 of 4 or even 4 of 4, which mean Miami could overtake them as well.
I give Miami a 75% chance of making the playoffs if they can go into cold Pittsburgh next week and win. I am certain the odds-makers have Pittsburgh a hefty favorite. But hey, we just beat the "favorite" Jets this week pretty convincingly, and it could have easily been 37-3. AND, Pittsburgh's defense is not what it used to be. I really love our chances.
Home » Unlabelled » We need 4 more AFC wins to make the playoffs - that was 1
Monday, December 02, 2013
Posted by The Mad Dolphan