Wednesday, December 04, 2013

Greatest QBs

On a previous post, mattbatt mentioned in a comment a podcast I did about the greatest QBs....he couldn't find a link to it, and to be fair....neither could I!

I posted all of the podcasts to a site, but they are not appearing currently.  :(

In any case, to make the point here (in short form), the basic premise was this: every single one of the greatest QBs of all time started during their rookie season, and took the reigns before the mid-point of the season.

Now there are a couple of exceptions, such as Phillip Rivers, who did not start immediately ... but in every case like this, it was because they were sitting behind another of the greatest QBs, and didn't get a chance until the guy in front of him retired or left the team.

Oh and there is the Brett Favre exception, where he was in Atlanta for his rookie year. That's an exception that doesn't otherwise fit into the rule.

At the time, I was referring to Chad Henne, because he didn't start in his rookie year.  And that meant it was unlikely he would have great success.

Now on the flip side, starting early does not guarantee success.  It only works in the one direction - certainly there have been a slew of QBs who started early who flamed out.  But unless they start, you never know.

Applying this to Tannehill, does it mean that he will be a success?  No.  But, because he has been starting since he arrived, its possible that he might be.  
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Tannehill has already proven that he can be a middle of the pack QB with the weapons he currently has.
He has the physical tools to move up the list of current starters in the league.
He needs to start hitting some deep throws and some we need it money throws.
If he can get one defining moment of leading the team back and scoring a TD for a big win on his own shoulders, the sky will be the limit for him.