Tuesday, September 24, 2013

This Game At New Orleans Is Ripe For The Picking

New Orleans may be 3-0 and 6 point favorites this Monday night but they are far from invincible.  The line actually opened at 5 1/2.  Smart money says Wake is out, lets bet the Saints.  Well, the Saints are actually prime for an upset. 

They may have the number 5th ranked total defense but their rushing defense is ranked 24th giving up 111 yards per game and last week even Arizona managed 86 yards on only 16 carries. 

In a tight game against Tampa Bay two weeks ago, the Saints gave up 160 yards on 33 carries.  They opened the season against Atlanta who rushed only 14 times and still got 88 yards. 

New Orleans is giving up 5.3 yards per carry.  Now put Lamar Miller on the fast track of the Superdome and if we commit to rushing the ball, we can put Tannehill in very manageable short yardage 2nd and 3rd down scenarios even if Miller doesn't bust any the distance.

Against the only decent QB they faced, Matt Ryan, they were scorched for 304 yards.  I would suggest Tannehill is just as capable of passing the ball as Ryan.  And with Wallace, Hartline and Clay on that same fast track, we can put up some points.

Offensively, New Orleans has given up 10 sacks in 3 games.  Even though Wake will not play, we should still be able to pressure Brees anyway.  Grimes will take care of Colston, so we gotta worry about Graham at TE and Sproles out of the backfield.  If we blitz, Sproles will have to block.

We just need our Secondary to play as good as they already have.  We don't need anything super special here, just minimize the big plays and let our Red Zone Package do their job when we have to.

Our kicking game is on fire.  Fields is averaging 49 yards a punt to create good field position. Sturgis is 6 for 6 with two 50+ FGs.  Wind and weather won't be a factor.

All we gotta do is survive the 1st quarter as the noise level will be deafening for a Monday night game pitting two undefeated teams. We have already gone on the road to win 2 games.

What is not to like about our chances here.  Let 'em be 10 point favorites.  It won't matter. The Saints are ripe, perfect for some pie.

Carl Leone
Dolfan since 12/25/1971
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