Thursday, March 14, 2013

Remove your-rose-colored glasses free agency take

I admit that I didn't care who the Dolphins signed.  It really didn't matter to me.  But the fact is that I can't avoid hearing about it.  It seems to be the talk of the town the last day or so.  And a comment was in order:

The Dolphins signed a big-name player and a couple of other guys, and suddenly "they're a contender" according to most pundits.  Sure, its fun to play a mini version of fantasy football and let the GMs draft what they think is going to be a great performing team.

I do give Ireland credit for *finally* having a conviction in free agency and acting on it. But there didn't seem to be much competition for Wallace's services (although I did hear that Minnesota may have been interested - and wouldn't it be funny if they were the ones who drove his price up? The Vikings of course snookered Miami out of a draft pick a few seasons ago when they drafted Vernon Carey) and paying him that much would appear to be over paying for a guy who was very good *two* seasons ago.  Last year he was no better than anyone Miami had - so they're banking on a possibility?

The NFL free agency period on the big name players is a 50/50 proposition - at best.  For every great free agent, there are a dozen busts. As much as I generally don't like The Bleacher Report, here are two articles that cover that very topic:
http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1073638-50-biggest-free-agent-signing-busts-in-nfl-history
http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1561130-ranking-the-50-greatest-nfl-free-agency-moves-of-all-time/

And given Ireland's history on free agency, I have trouble believing Miami has "turned the corner" and gotten better.  Prove it.

Now to be a conspiracist, but I have to wonder if there's an attempt to win fan support for the bigger picture: Ross wants his stadium improvements, and this is a small price to be paid to put positive energy on the Dolphins.  If it is, it still is good for fans, but it just happens to run contrary to his "we build through the draft" mindset.

As for the linebackers he signed, last year we heard the defense had a good foundation.  But now about half of it is comprised of new players.  And in jettisoning a couple of the players, the Dolphins showed that free agency decisions of the past were bad decisions.  So are they really better?

And just one other comment.  Given the roster churn that happened when Parcells, et al arrived on the scene, and the emphasis they put on that first draft back in 2008, its amazing that NONE of the draft choices from that season are still on the team.  Not a one.  So I guess selecting Jake Long #1 overall wasn't such a great idea, after all.


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5 comments

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Great poat and very accurate, as always we will need to see how Rayn plays and how the secendary plays as well. Our big problem is in the defense, we let teams come back on us and score late in the game, if we can put an end to that then I think we will have turned the corner, till then it is still up in the air.


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I meant great post.......

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Dude... Our head coach surely had a bit to do with free agency this year. I trust him. Lets see how this plays out before we go all crash and burn. Ireland can do nothig right. If he goes all out he is crtitcized. If he does nothing he is criticized. I'm getting the feeling everyone in the Dolphin organization is doing the best they can to build a winning team. How exactly would you have done it better?

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Dude... Our head coach surely had a bit to do with free agency this year. I trust him. Lets see how this plays out before we go all crash and burn. Ireland can do nothig right. If he goes all out he is crtitcized. If he does nothing he is criticized. I'm getting the feeling everyone in the Dolphin organization is doing the best they can to build a winning team. How exactly would you have done it better?

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What's with the pessimism? Truth is NOBODY knows what really happens behind the scenes in free agency. Only a few teams (that need a receiver) had the cap space to add Wallace anyway. All I heard last year was "We need receiver upgrades and a deep threat" and now that they signed one, you think they got duped? EVERY SINGLE PLAYER added to ANY TEAM is a risk, be it draft or free agency. You think Tom Brady would have fell to the 6th round if everyone knew how good he would be? The point is nobody knows, but with great risk comes great reward. What does Wallace have to do to make his acquisition worth it? Given the receivers only scored 3 TDs last year, I say not much.

Your blog suggests that the only reason the Dolphins can't compete is because the offense sucks. If the defense "had a solid foundation", why can't anyone cover a tight end? Why is Cam Wake the ONLY player sacking the QB? Why does Tom Brady LOVE padding his stats against the Dolphins? Consistency and chemistry is just as important as talent, because talent alone doesn't guarantee a playoff birth (refer to the 2011 Philadelphia Eagles). Clearly with losing records the last few years, you have to do something different, create a different chemistry. I appreciate what the front office is doing- this team needed a face lift and major overhaul.

As far as your conspiracy theory, I'm sure that the stadium issues played into the acquisitions somewhat. WELCOME TO POLITICS!!