Tuesday, November 24, 2015

Losing Out

Will the Dolphins win out to save their coach? It's a foregone conclusion that this team won't be able to. It's too bad, he's gaining valuable experience as an interim head coach.

The silver lining in being a loser is the 2016 draft. There are seven teams with worse records than Miami:
3-7 Ravens remaining opponents record   30-30
2-8 Browns         "                 "                "       30-30
2-8 Titans           "                 "                "       43-27
2-8 Chargers      "                 "                "       33-27
3-7 Cowboys       "                 "                "       35-25
3-7 Lions             "                 "                "       26-32
3-7 49ers              "                 "                "      29-31

4-6 Dolphins         "                "                "       30-30 

Miami is in a tough spot. They're out of the playoffs and have a slim chance of losing enough to get into the top ten. Not a lot of options outside of the top ten and Miami needs options to try to fill its many holes.

Ideally, Miami has to lose its remaining six games to have a chance to move up, but they'll have competition from other teams doing the same thing. There are also seven teams with the same record as Miami:
Jaguars              "                "               "   24-36
Raiders              "                "               "   29-31
Redskins            "                "               "   24-36
Eagles                "                "               "   35-25
Bears                  "                "               "   20-31
Saints                 "                "               "   33-27
Rams                  "                "               "   32-28

 If you're counting, that's six teams that have a tougher remaining schedule than Miami. Losing out to get into the top ten draft picks will be as tough as winning out. Not a very good scenario, huh?

Dave's two cents

A couple of random thoughts:

1. The times simulator I posted a link to suggests that the chances of the fins making the playoffs is <1%. While it's still mathematically possible, the season is over.

The question, then, is who do you want as the next head coach. Post below. I'm curious to see what peeps think.

2. I had a feeling (and I think posted something) that the patriots would be damn good this year. And weren't going to take overturned suspension lightly. Now at 10-0, put me on the list of people that think the patriots will go 18-0. And once again be flirting with perfection. Only this time it seems like that extra motivation will prob'ly get them there.

3. I recently read Steve Ross's bio on Wikipedia. Let's just say it was interesting. He's not quite self made (not that he ever said he was), and got some connections and money from the family. And while he did graduate high school in Miami, his family moved there during high school, and he moved away just after. Of course, since he was born in 1940, there were no dolphins in Miami while he lived in the town.

So other than a couple of years as a teen, he really has no personal connection to the town or the team.

Just an observation, really. But it underscores a point I've made that he is happy to own A team, and doesn't much care about it, the city, and whatever.


Sunday, November 22, 2015

I Already Told You All!!

I told you all. Hope for Hue Jackson. Our offense STILL sucks as well as our defense. What's surprising is you all talk like you expected them to win today. Did you really expect them to make the playoffs?! LOL. Like I said, hope for Hue Jackson. He is the best and most REALISTIC option we have at season's end. And let's hope he brings new coordinators. LOL, thought they would win, thought they would make playoffs, that's great.....

Wait for it...

Wait for it...

Okay here goes: Tannehill still sucks. Yeah he had a couple of okay plays. But IMHO, that was more a case of the Cowboys being surprised by the Dolphins calling a few longer plays and teeing off to get to him, rather than covering h'tge receivers.

And what, exactly, did they amount to? Pretty much nothing.

At least this week he didn't give up a safety. But he did give up a pick 6, which is worse.

Meanwhile the Bucs dominated Miamis opponent from last week (the Eagles) with Winston easily having 5 TDs!

That shows the gulf between Tannehill and a good QB.

Bam. I said it. He blows. Please. Play anybody else!

N.F.L. Playoff Simulator - The New York Times

A little fun for your Sunday morning


Friday, November 20, 2015

Jessica White and Bridget Hall preview Sunday's Cowboys-Dolphins game - Swim Daily - SI.com

Now that's what I call fantasy football (drum rim shot. Hey oh!)

Rays take (Benny Hill edition)

I was reading through the comments on my last post (about Pouncey by the way!) and Tanehills name was thrown about.

So naturally I had to jump on that. I found it interesting that the comments included 'give him more time'. Yeah he started 19 or so games in college. That's the equivalent of almost two years. Now he's been in the NFL for almost 4. How much more time does he need? 10 years? 20?

I watched Mariota last night lead a drive with little time left; he got to the 20 with six seconds left. Yes he was sacked. And yes he lost. But this is his 10th start - and he gave his team a fighting chance. When has Benny Hill ever done that? Here's a hint: he never has.

Another comment was his gaudy stats. Oooooh. 4,000 yards. He throws behind the line and a few yards upfield. Nearly all of his stats come from YAC. It's all on the receivers.

Add to it the simple fact that the plays are called for him and he can't control anything - no audibles no nothing - and you have a situation where any of us could play QB.

They've dumbed it down and the stats are a result of the other players and the play calls. Not about the person throwing.

Okay, then you've got he's average AND he's the best we've had since Marino.

The best since Marino? 15 years, and 93 players? I doubt that. Heck. I didn't like Fiedler either, but I'd say he was MUCH better than the current guy. At least he took the team on his back and won some games.

And if he is...well saying he's average and that he's the best we've had means the team has been "doing it wrong" for a decade and a half. Keep doing it until you get it right!!!

See my previous post about not settling. We're settling for average and hoping/wishing this guy gets better.

And meanwhile the team never improves and we just take it.

It's really sad.

Thursday, November 19, 2015

About Mike Pounceys so called "great year"

The herald says he's graded out well and he's happy with things


But isn't he the center? Isn't he directly responsible for giving up 4 points in games? Plays where he missed that QB guy I like to rag on (because he sucks) on a couple of snaps?

You can say it's just a couple of bad snaps. But its happened more than once, and it's a big part of his job...

Wouldn't it be awesome if he had a clause in his contract along the lines of he gets fined $100k for each point he allows?

Wednesday, November 18, 2015

Don't settle!

I heard Omar on the radio earlier. I am not much of a fan and almost changed it.

Then he caught my attention. He said "as a fan don't settle for a QB. For a coach. For an owner"

He went on to remind us that our expectations should be high, rather than setting them so low.

Expect great things and hold these clowns accountable!!

Getting to 9-7 and squeaking into the playoffs? Nope. You've got to own it. Get in there and make it big!

Monday, November 16, 2015

Hire Rob Ryan

Just saw he was released by the saints. How fun would it be if he came here.

Let the hilarity ensue as bellichick has to go up against one of the Ryan's in 25% of his games!!! And

Evens Stevens Are Everywhere In The New NFL

They wanted parity in the NFL and it looks like they are getting it.

After 10 weeks almost half the teams, 15 out of 32, have either 4 or 5 losses.

And 8 of those 15 reside in the AFC.

So half the Conference is stuck in the middle battling for Wild Card Supremacy.

Pittsburgh is looking best at 6-4 having played their 10th game already..  Even with a banged up back up in Ben Roethlisberger, who didn't start due to his injured ankle, they blew out Cleveland 30-9.  I guess hobbling isn't what it used to be.

The Bills and Jets are next at 5-4 but the Bills currently hold the Tie Breaker by beating the Jets and they also are 3-1 in the division compared to the Jets 1-2 division record.

We, on the other hand, are sitting ugly at 0-4 in the division.

Our AFC competitors also with 5 losses include:

Indianapolis 4-5 with a 4-3 AFC record
Oakland 4-5 with a 4-3 AFC record
Kansas City 4-5 with a 3-2 AFC record
Houston 4-5 with a 3-3 AFC record

I mention their AFC records because other than Houston, whom we beat, the conference records will determine Tie Breakers since we won't have any head to head with Oakland and KC.

Unfortunately, we are the ugliest girl in the line to get into the dance with our formidable 2-5 AFC record.

So right now we need to run the table and get Buffalo to lose 2 games, the Jets to lose one other game as well as our game against them in 2 weeks, plus Oakland and KC have to lose one more game.

If we lose one more game, then Jacksonville with 6 losses comes into play and since they beat us, we would lose a Tie Breaker to them. Plus add another needed loss to all of the afore mentioned.

Keep in mind that those teams have to play each other along the route so someone will have to fall.

We do have one advantage over the other teams currently in the hunt.  Of our 7 remaining games, 5 will be played at home and only 2 games on the road.

Miami plays Dallas, at Jets, Baltimore, NYG, at San Diego, Colts, New England

Buffalo has 3 Home and 4 Away: at NE, at KC, Houston, at Phil, at Wash, Dallas, Jets

Jets have 3 Home and 4 Away: at Houston, Miami, at NYG, Titans, at Dallas, NE, at Buff

Colts have 3 Home and 4 Away: at Falcons, Bucs, at Pitt, at Jags, Houston, at Miami, Titans

Oakland has 3 Home and 4 Away: at Lions, at Titans, KC, at Denver, GB, San Diego, at KC

Kansas City has 4 Home and 3 Away: at SD, Buff, at Oak, SD, at Balt, Cleveland, Oakland

Houston has 4 Home and 3 Away: Jets, NO, at Buff, NE, at Colts, at Titans, Jags

Jags have 4 Home and 3 Away: Titans, SD, at Titans, Colts, Falcons, at NO, at Houston

Pittsburgh has 2 Home and 4 Away: at Seattle, Colts, at Cin, Denver, at Balt, at Cleveland

Keep in mind that either the Colts, Texans or Jags will win the AFC South.

Miami only plays the Jets and Colts in the hunt.
Buffalo plays 3 in the hunt.
Jets play 3 in the hunt.
Colts play 4 in the hunt.
Oakland plays 2 in the hunt.
Kansas City plays 3 in the hunt.
Houston plays 4 in the hunt.
Jags play 2 in the hunt.
Pitt plays only 1 in the hunt.

The Wild Card is wide open right now and the NFL and the majority of fans are loving it.

Your guess is as good as mine as to who will eventually get into the playoffs but don't count Miami out yet.

Phins Up!!!

Carl Leone
Dolfan since 12/25/1971

Luck Be A Lady And Don't She Look Good Now

And we all know how she changes her mind.

Yesterday's game at Philly showed me how much that fickle finger of fate can point one way and suddenly go another. 

And the Refs were involved in most of it too.

The craziest sequence was when Philly had the ball at their own 27, leading by 3 with 5:11 left in the third. Bradford gets sacked by Shelby at the 17 and fumbles.  Vernon appears to recover at the 12 and advances to the 7 were he fumbles the ball and its recovered by Bradford at their 3 yard line.

I thought "unbelievable, now they have the ball 1-10 at the 3 instead of our ball 1-G or even if we didn't recover they would be punting from somewhere".  But Lady Luck arrived in two forms.

Number One: The Refs had a penalty called for holding against the Eagles and while they were trying to figure out the proper penalty enforcement, Number Two: HC Campbell had plenty of time to look at all the replays on the TV screen to challenge whether Vernon actually possessed the ball or not.

The Refs agreed with Campbell that Vernon, over the course of 5 yards, did not in fact possess the ball so when Bradford fell on the ball at the 3 they were now facing a 4th and 27 if we declined the holding penalty.  Had the ruling been that Vernon had possessed the ball then Philly would have faced a 3-13 at their 17 instead.

Granted we wound up only punting the ball back later but Campbell made a good decision to challenge.

With 11:21 left in the game trailing 20-16, Sanchez throws a 22 Yard TD to Ertz to take the lead but once again the Refs get involved.  Off setting penalties. Illegal Shift against Philly and we had 12 guys on the field.  12 guys and they still got a guy wide open.

Replay the down.  Lady Luck carries a yellow flag.

Prior to the half ending, she bit us too.  With 17 seconds left, Hewitt picked off Bradford and was tackled on the Philly 37.  A good chance to get a FG and tie up the game 16-16.

Nope. Mosley is called for roughing the passer.

Lady Luck changes her mind too.  3 times Philly put the ball on the ground with a Dolphin having an opportunity to recover. Vernon almost did and we missed the other two chances. 

Bad Luck.

Then at the start of the 4th trailing 16-13, Miami has the ball 1-G at the Philly 8.  DE Cox jumps offsides so we halve the ball in to the 4.  Tannehill drops back and throws the ball directly into the shoulder of an unblocked Connor Darwin. 

As the ball ricochets way up into the air. I am thinking "Oh shit, INT!"

But Lady Luck smiles our way and a leaping Landry comes down with it for a TD.

Good Luck.

Our boy Sturgis, former Draft Pick and Place Kicker, had a say in how Lady Luck performed.  He missed a chip 32 yard FG in the first half.

Lady Luck even messed with both teams on the same play.

With 5:32 left in the 3rd, Philly had the ball 2-8 at their 35.  Bradford is sacked by McCain and fumbles the ball but Philly falls on it.  Another golden opportunity for Miami slips through our fingers.  Bad luck for us.

Eagle fans were happy with their good luck recovering the fumble until Bradford has trouble getting off the turf and has to leave the game.  Bad luck for them turns suddenly into good luck for us.

Enter Mark Sanchez.

Lady Luck also got involved in two very similar replay reviews of plays in two different games involving our current team and also the '72 Perfect Team.

The first which was good luck for us when Vernon was ruled to not have had possession of Bradford's fumble as mentioned earlier.

The second wound up being bad luck for the '72 Team.  Trailing the Patriots by 1 with 2:06 left, Odell Beckham Jr. appeared to catch a TD pass from Eli Manning but the Butler did it again and just as Beckham's second foot hit the turf, he slapped the ball loose. 

After reviewing this play, the Refs ruled that Beckham Jr. did not possess the ball for the TD and the Giants had to settle for a FG instead.

Tough luck for us trying to get a 1 in the Patriots loss column.

On a side note, the Eagles scored their 16 points in the first half in a span of only 4:03 of game clock.

With their first 9 points coming in a span of only 10 seconds.

Some say better to be lucky than good. 

But after the way luck switched sides yesterday, the saying should actually be:

"He who lucks last, lucks best".

Phins Up!!!

Carl Leone
Dolfan since 12/25/1971

Sunday, November 15, 2015

Hey what do you know?

The Dolphins managed to win today. Who knew they had it in them to outlast another team while scoring just 20?

And a big thank you to Mark Sanchez! Think we can play him every week?

He's spotting 2 points per game?!

Seriously? 3rd week in a row that BennyHill gives up a safety.

I don't care if it's the lines fault or the coaches fault. All 3 involved this clown at QB.

You simply don't hear about this with any team or QB.

It has to be him.

Please, please, please bench him now!!!

Miami Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill must win more in 2015 - Miami Dolphins Blog - ESPN

I stumbled on this article from "way back" in September and read it again.

I am reminded of just how terrible BennyHill is, how it's "his" team (and probably a reflection of him) and how the Dolphins are saddled with him because of a brain fart by the people who are in charge of this team.

Worst W-L percentage. No playoffs.

And people thought this team might good because the team was loaded with talent?

Sigh. I just can't see this getting better. Yes, I harp on the QB. Because he's the face of the franchise.

But Suh is nowhere near what they paid for him. And Grimes is starting to show his age. And who else is there on defense?

And on offense, you've got Pouncey, Landry, and maybe Miller. But without a QB who can get anything done it's hard to count on them.



My thing is poring over stats to evaluate the Dolphins. Like most Dolphins fans, no stats are needed to know how the team is playing. In short, they stink right now. The stat line is ugly and can cause the most ardent fan to despair. With that in mind, here's the lowdown from Pro Football Focus.

Players that pull their own weight:

Jarvis Landry
Lamar Miller
Mike Pouncey
Rishard Matthews

Ndamukong Suh
Cameron Wake
Reshad Jones
Derrick Shelby
Koa Misi
Brent Grimes
Michael Thomas
Bobby McCain

Special team:
Jarvis Landry
Andrew Franks
Walt Aikens
Michael Thomas
Kelvin Sheppard
Spencer Paysinger
Tony Lippett

Then, there are those who are a load:

Jamil Douglas
Jason Fox
Dallas Thomas
Billy Turner
Greg Jennings
Ju'Wuan James
Brandon Albert
Dion Sims
Damien Williams

Kelvin Sheppard
Jamar Taylor
Earl Mitchell
Walt Aikens
Brice McCain
Terence Fede
C.J. Mosley
Jordan Phillips
A.J. Francis

Special team:
John Denney
Matt Darr
Zack Vigil

Not surprising that the offensive line is, well, downright offensive! That's the root of the Dolphins troubles this season. They can't sustain drives, so the defense is forced into extra duty and gets worn out. But you all knew this! Commiserate with me as we fans embark on the second half of the season!